Is Runescape going into recession? some disturbing facts about the economy.

After every update there are players moaning because the economy is going to crash, normally I take the mickey out of them and ask them why they don’t quit.

There are definite signs that the economy is going down, not supple hints but big huge jumps in price in a downward trend across the board, I am not talking about resources but with regard to the more expensive items such as armours.

I had a slayer task for Iron dragons, in fact my last 5 slayer tasks have been Iron Dragons, when I did my first task I missed the task complete fanfare and carried on, it must have been 10 to 20 dragons later that I got a Draconic Visage, woot I thought this is a nice bit of cash to buy my Armadyl set that I wanted, how wrong was I, the Draconic Visage is unsellable, the price of the dragonfire shield was 18m and dropped to 16m in a day, the Visage sells for just over 21m, who is going to buy a visage for 21m to make it into a shield worth 16m and if their not 90 smithing pay 1m for the privilege?
It gets worse, I decided to sell my Dragonfire Shield as I put it on GE it came up with the message, you can not sell this on the grand exchange, wtf, I looked a bit further and I could buy a DFS for 16m but I couldn’t sell mine, its a god job I never converted my visage or I would have been stuck with 2 shields and wasted 1m building it.

So what now do I hi alch my visage, I cant sell it as a visage because of the price and I cant sell the DFS because GE wont accept it, all you guys wanting a visage drop forget it its trash, albeit trash worth 21m, ive left mine on GE at minimum price hoping that the price will increase.

I was given a hint that the merchants have dumped the DFS so the price has dropped, I can not vouch for this as being the case but things do seem to add up, the price dropping drastically over a few days, and the ability to not sell on the GE could be a way for Jagex to maintain stability, if it is the case the merchants are spoiling the game for the good players and causing Jagex to bring in unpopular measures to counteract the mindless actions of others.

When will people learn that they are not doing any good by trying to abuse the system they are just risking the free trade and stability of the game for good players, the problem is Jagex will get the blame for it like the pkin and RWT updates, people wanting to cheat at the game made a huge effect on the rest of the players, its just lucky that the pk and rwt brought a great number of updates that benefited everyone.

So you may think im over reacting over 1 item the visage, maybe but I have also noticed that the price of Bandos has dropped the price of sara swords, Armadyl armour and swords has also dropped, you may expect this but by over 1m for some items every day is worrying, I had a zammy hilt as a drop and made the godsword by buying the shards, despite the godswords being carp I kept it because it was a drop that I got on my own when they were new, recently the price shot up from 40m to 60m so I sold it, a week or 2 later the price had dropped to 40m again and the Bandos was 30m so I bought the Bandos, the price for Bandos gs is now 21m.

I was saving up for the Armadyl armour but at the rate it is dropping I will be losing out big time very quickly, the Armadyl armour/weapons dropped a combined total of over 5m since yesterday, however I do not need to save up for it now.

Many of you will be thinking thats great we can wear some good armour for a very low price, think about when you have trained for many years to get good levels to kill big bosses, you risk life and limb and end up with a lootshare of 500k for a great drop, is it worth it? I think it is worth it just for the fun but many players play for cash and its not so great for them.

I don’t think this will make a great deal of impact on the game but the motivation of good monster drops will be a thing of the past very soon.
This is the Armadyl Plateskirt price graph for the month including the price crash, this graph is identical in shape (obviously not price) for most of the god armour, dragonfire shield, and dragon armour as well as some other bits and pieces, it will be interesting to see if happens the same way when the schools return next year.

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